Baja California retail revenue grows 1.8% year over year in July
The new INEGI report shows growth in real revenue. These are preliminary statewide July figures, not a measure of current sales in each neighborhood.
Real retail revenue in Baja California rose 1.8% in July 2026 compared with July 2025. The figure appears in the state table of INEGI’s Monthly Survey of Commercial Businesses, published September 22, and matches Oscar Tafoya’s review of the data published by AFN the following day.
Comparisons need the same statistical series. In the original, unadjusted figures, both Baja California and Mexico overall show 1.8% annual growth. The national 2.0% highlighted in the bulletin is seasonally adjusted. Those percentages use different treatments of the data and should not be mixed to rank the state below the national average.
The same table records annual increases of 0.8% in retail employment and 7.5% in average real remuneration in the state. These are different indicators: revenue growth does not imply identical growth in employment or in each worker’s pay.
INEGI marks July’s data as preliminary. For Tijuana businesses, the report provides statewide context with a two-month lag; it cannot establish an individual store’s sales or neighborhood conditions. It does not, by itself, establish the reasons for the change. This article therefore does not attribute the result to exchange rates or cross-border shopping.
Sources consulted
References to the documents and reporting behind this article. Some supply context rather than independent corroboration of the event.
- INEGI · EMEC, boletín 598/26 Primary record: July 2026 tables, original and seasonally adjusted series; page 4 visually checked
- AFN · Oscar Tafoya Journalistic review of the state figure; unverified causal hypotheses and historical comparisons are excluded